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STRATEGY CHECK

Golden Cross (50/200 SMA)

Trend following · Classic trend following · the best-known moving-average rule

Backtest result

BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025

This strategy+322.6%Buy & hold+1,114.5%
Equity curve (starting capital = 1×) · max 6.08×
Trades
7
Win rate
57.1%
Max drawdown
−57.0%
Profit factor
3.28
Annualized return
+27.1%
Time in market
63.8%

What the result shows

  • Buying and holding over the same period returned +1,114.5%. This strategy returned +322.6%, less than that.
  • It held a position 63.8% of the time and sat in cash for the rest.
  • Only 7 trades in 6 years. With a sample this small, a few trades decide the result.
  • Along the way equity fell as much as −57.0% from its previous peak.

Rules

Entry
50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA
Exit
50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA (death cross)
What changed when written as rules
No stop or target in the original: -90% stop and 100R target keep them out of the way
Test conditions
BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025 · 0.10% fee per side · 0.05% slippage · entry at the next open after a signal on a closed candle

This is a calculation of the rules on historical prices. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset and does not promise returns. A different symbol, timeframe or period gives a different result. Results claimed by the original sources have not been verified by this service.

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