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STRATEGY CHECK

Ichimoku TK cross above the cloud

Trend following · Goichi Hosoda's Ichimoku Kinko Hyo strong buy signal

Backtest result

BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025

This strategy+32.9%Buy & hold+1,114.5%
Equity curve (starting capital = 1×) · max 1.57×
Trades
14
Win rate
35.7%
Max drawdown
−29.7%
Profit factor
1.56
Annualized return
+4.8%
Time in market
12.9%

What the result shows

  • Buying and holding over the same period returned +1,114.5%. This strategy returned +32.9%, less than that.
  • It held a position 12.9% of the time and sat in cash for the rest.
  • Only 14 trades in 6 years. With a sample this small, a few trades decide the result.
  • Along the way equity fell as much as −29.7% from its previous peak.

Rules

Entry
Close above the cloud, Tenkan crosses above Kijun, close above the close 26 bars ago (Chikou)
Exit
Close below the Kijun-sen
What changed when written as rules
Default settings (9, 26, 52, 26); no separate stop, so -90% keeps it out of the way
Test conditions
BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025 · 0.10% fee per side · 0.05% slippage · entry at the next open after a signal on a closed candle

This is a calculation of the rules on historical prices. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset and does not promise returns. A different symbol, timeframe or period gives a different result. Results claimed by the original sources have not been verified by this service.

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