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STRATEGY CHECK

MACD + 200 EMA

Momentum · Trading Rush YouTube MACD strategy (the 100-trade test video) · Original video ↗

Video figures: 100 manual trades on 30m forex · 62% wins · +50%

Backtest result

BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025

This strategy+31.7%Buy & hold+1,114.5%
Equity curve (starting capital = 1×) · max 2.01×
Trades
12
Win rate
58.3%
Max drawdown
−37.2%
Profit factor
1.32
Annualized return
+4.7%
Time in market
20.3%

What the result shows

  • Buying and holding over the same period returned +1,114.5%. This strategy returned +31.7%, less than that.
  • It held a position 20.3% of the time and sat in cash for the rest.
  • Only 12 trades in 6 years. With a sample this small, a few trades decide the result.
  • Along the way equity fell as much as −37.2% from its previous peak.

Rules

Entry
Close > 200 EMA and MACD crosses above its signal line below zero
Exit
Stop at the last swing low · 1.5R target
What changed when written as rules
Originally tested on 30-minute forex charts; the same rules here on daily BTC
Test conditions
BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025 · 0.10% fee per side · 0.05% slippage · entry at the next open after a signal on a closed candle

This is a calculation of the rules on historical prices. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset and does not promise returns. A different symbol, timeframe or period gives a different result. Results claimed by the original sources have not been verified by this service.

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