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STRATEGY CHECK

Turtle Trading System 1

Breakout · Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt Turtle rules (1983)

Backtest result

BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025

This strategy+1,243.7%Buy & hold+1,114.5%
Equity curve (starting capital = 1×) · max 16.21×
Trades
32
Win rate
43.8%
Max drawdown
−48.2%
Profit factor
2.38
Annualized return
+54.1%
Time in market
44.5%

What the result shows

  • Buying and holding over the same period returned +1,114.5%. This strategy returned +1,243.7%, more than that.
  • It held a position 44.5% of the time and sat in cash for the rest.
  • Along the way equity fell as much as −48.2% from its previous peak.

Rules

Entry
Close above the prior 20-day high
Exit
Close below the prior 10-day low · 2N stop (2× ATR)
What changed when written as rules
Intraday breakouts become close-confirmed entries at the next open; N uses ATR(14) instead of ATR(20); pyramiding and the skip-after-win rule are omitted
Test conditions
BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025 · 0.10% fee per side · 0.05% slippage · entry at the next open after a signal on a closed candle

This is a calculation of the rules on historical prices. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset and does not promise returns. A different symbol, timeframe or period gives a different result. Results claimed by the original sources have not been verified by this service.

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