STRATEGY CHECK
MACD + 100 EMA
Momentum · Data Trader YouTube MACD strategy (about 2.9M views) · Original video ↗
Video figures: none (only "a high win rate")
Backtest result
BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025
This strategy+88.3%Buy & hold+1,114.5%
- Trades
- 23
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Max drawdown
- −51.4%
- Profit factor
- 1.27
- Annualized return
- +11.1%
- Time in market
- 41.5%
What the result shows
- Buying and holding over the same period returned +1,114.5%. This strategy returned +88.3%, less than that.
- It held a position 41.5% of the time and sat in cash for the rest.
- Only 23 trades in 6 years. With a sample this small, a few trades decide the result.
- Along the way equity fell as much as −51.4% from its previous peak.
Rules
- Entry
- Close > 100 EMA and MACD crosses above its signal line
- Exit
- Stop at the last swing low · 1.5R target
- What changed when written as rules
- Only the beginner rule; the advanced support/resistance rule cannot be expressed and is omitted
- Test conditions
- BTCUSDT spot daily · 2020–2025 · 0.10% fee per side · 0.05% slippage · entry at the next open after a signal on a closed candle
This is a calculation of the rules on historical prices. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset and does not promise returns. A different symbol, timeframe or period gives a different result. Results claimed by the original sources have not been verified by this service.
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